Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 85.052297 95.021246 105.165046 116.228305 127.924428 139.893431 153.039110
2025-09-21 68.679375 83.009890 98.203464 115.386090 134.159076 153.938422 176.247229
2025-09-28 57.464559 73.980299 92.060343 113.063250 136.550037 161.790934 190.760182
2025-10-05 52.718861 71.375472 92.315086 117.133686 145.359251 176.119284 211.848777
2025-10-12 48.071686 68.295194 91.530563 119.576968 151.951995 187.662351 229.566154
2025-10-19 42.513463 63.600563 88.430967 118.964051 154.734288 194.655273 241.958123
2025-10-26 37.732685 59.431244 85.602062 118.352998 157.248206 201.120131 253.557307
2025-11-02 34.185635 56.507291 84.029630 119.014929 161.060605 208.919701 266.543551
2025-11-09 30.344159 52.889073 81.354058 118.134123 162.877810 214.276860 276.615974
2025-11-16 27.381486 50.201210 79.658841 118.290479 165.797670 220.810944 287.956057
2025-11-23 24.214649 46.977036 77.081722 117.189344 167.070414 225.310440 296.850976
2025-11-30 22.357109 45.454850 76.610569 118.639028 171.368075 233.323102 309.798024
2025-12-07 20.725185 44.168791 76.411032 120.430245 176.116501 241.934354 323.545527
2025-12-14 18.302982 41.501947 74.215981 119.556655 177.503706 246.489045 332.496052
2025-12-21 15.643552 38.214166 70.986599 117.188551 176.909273 248.568758 338.439493
2025-12-28 15.228320 38.494489 72.723924 121.341697 184.493347 260.525287 356.119085
2026-01-04 14.358002 37.945253 73.235989 123.834311 189.960065 269.904826 370.728625
2026-01-11 12.688103 35.886226 71.477259 123.209066 191.409815 274.352810 379.414649
2026-01-18 11.172690 33.939702 69.779106 122.585705 192.801322 278.685260 387.928380
2026-01-25 10.109719 32.705674 69.069371 123.260969 195.826849 285.000589 398.812838
2026-02-01 8.780134 30.814147 67.271177 122.362415 196.760612 288.696210 406.504881
2026-02-08 7.799312 29.488918 66.270436 122.521926 199.035006 294.027127 416.160593
2026-02-15 6.656866 27.672643 64.407902 121.398535 199.575049 297.162289 423.119172